Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.429682 8.187089 9.009593 9.972703 11.074039 12.299442 13.773406
2026-01-11 6.243576 7.215423 8.339197 9.746677 11.479217 13.564496 16.298573
2026-01-18 5.726546 6.842770 8.192451 9.968050 12.278146 15.233093 19.385015
2026-01-25 5.186105 6.352618 7.811130 9.803400 12.509925 16.144729 21.551186
2026-02-01 4.775148 5.971762 7.510709 9.681570 12.743878 17.038305 23.765710
2026-02-08 4.424762 5.631873 7.222213 9.528988 12.892639 17.795980 25.850556
2026-02-15 4.113501 5.315611 6.932755 9.336361 12.945763 18.394319 27.743736
2026-02-22 3.889377 5.098926 6.758867 9.284970 13.189022 19.290336 30.232842
2026-03-01 3.613668 4.790786 6.431567 8.975340 12.997797 19.462600 31.485593
2026-03-08 3.331120 4.455814 6.043191 8.541348 12.566036 19.185157 31.873972
2026-03-15 3.154277 4.262038 5.847773 8.386435 12.565154 19.624308 33.649635
2026-03-22 3.215714 4.416457 6.175208 9.071039 14.010670 22.740938 41.188626
2026-03-29 3.129586 4.351531 6.172885 9.237295 14.611857 24.457491 46.330187
2026-04-05 2.961255 4.153699 5.953350 9.028630 14.532216 24.883543 48.759034
2026-04-12 2.898977 4.113679 5.977463 9.229156 15.209275 26.870091 55.211722
2026-04-19 2.766889 3.958033 5.806908 9.080147 15.217832 27.501342 58.528328
2026-04-26 2.652911 3.824991 5.664985 8.969848 15.287512 28.266136 62.364403
2026-05-03 2.541748 3.691021 5.513914 8.831650 15.287924 28.878987 65.944653
2026-05-10 2.431348 3.553273 5.349259 8.657090 15.198672 29.279798 69.035449
2026-05-17 2.352002 3.462157 5.257948 8.610502 15.364314 30.282970 74.157751
2026-05-24 2.235558 3.305734 5.048319 8.329646 15.018621 30.042513 75.422858
2026-05-31 2.105766 3.122899 4.786155 7.935515 14.404814 29.093893 74.248581
2026-06-07 2.026954 3.021644 4.660542 7.794694 14.321876 29.436005 77.410936